2015: Outlook for stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies and real estate?
Sunil Kewalramani had correctly predicted that the 'Great Financial Crisis' shall recede after March 2009. He had also correctly predicted the 'Oil Crash of 2009', the 'Structural bull market in gold in the 2000s', the 'Crash of silver in May 2011', the 'End of commodity super cycle in May of 2011', the 'Crash of gold prices in June 2012' and had foretold the 'Greek financial crisis in December 2009', which ended up roiling world financial markets.
Can you identify periods during which stock market will rally at its best?
There is a school of thought in the world of investing that says that there are brief periods in a year when swift and sharp rallies in market indices takes place. So, you should stay invested throughout the year because you do not really know when these swift and short rallies will occur. Mr Sunil Kewalramani disagrees. He believes that if he can give you idea of when the short and swift rallies can occur, you can stay invested in these periods only, stay out of the market for the remaining part of the year and you will be able to clearly outperform the market.
Sunil Kewalramani predicts a down year in 2015 continuing well into the end of the year. He believes the 'Dot com 2.0' bubble should start bursting by the end of the year 2015. According to Mr Kewalramani, biotech stocks have also become frothy and could lose their momentum much before the end of 2015.
Mr Sunil Kewalramani does not believe China can take the world into a recession as most of the world (other than emerging economies) is net importers from and not net exporters to China. He believes the indecision of the US Federal Reserve could lead to uncertainty which could end up roiling up global stock markets well unto the end of 2015.
Sunil Kewalramani is a professional money manager and has advised and consulted for MNCs, institutional investors, mutual funds, pension funds and high net worth individuals in various parts of the world.